Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 0.000064 0.000068 0.000071 0.000074 0.000078 0.000082 0.000087
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000062 0.000067 0.000073 0.000079 0.000085 0.000093
2025-03-09 0.000053 0.000058 0.000064 0.000070 0.000078 0.000087 0.000097
2025-03-16 0.000051 0.000056 0.000063 0.000070 0.000079 0.000090 0.000104
2025-03-23 0.000049 0.000056 0.000063 0.000071 0.000082 0.000095 0.000112
2025-03-30 0.000047 0.000054 0.000061 0.000070 0.000082 0.000096 0.000116
2025-04-06 0.000045 0.000051 0.000058 0.000068 0.000080 0.000096 0.000117
2025-04-13 0.000042 0.000048 0.000056 0.000065 0.000078 0.000093 0.000116
2025-04-20 0.000040 0.000046 0.000053 0.000063 0.000075 0.000092 0.000115
2025-04-27 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000061 0.000074 0.000091 0.000116
2025-05-04 0.000038 0.000044 0.000052 0.000062 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123
2025-05-11 0.000037 0.000044 0.000052 0.000063 0.000077 0.000098 0.000129
2025-05-18 0.000037 0.000044 0.000053 0.000065 0.000082 0.000106 0.000144
2025-05-25 0.000036 0.000043 0.000051 0.000064 0.000081 0.000106 0.000147
2025-06-01 0.000034 0.000041 0.000050 0.000062 0.000079 0.000105 0.000148
2025-06-08 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000062 0.000080 0.000107 0.000154
2025-06-15 0.000033 0.000040 0.000049 0.000063 0.000082 0.000112 0.000166
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000039 0.000048 0.000062 0.000082 0.000113 0.000170
2025-06-29 0.000031 0.000038 0.000047 0.000060 0.000080 0.000111 0.000169
2025-07-06 0.000030 0.000036 0.000045 0.000058 0.000077 0.000108 0.000165
2025-07-13 0.000028 0.000035 0.000043 0.000056 0.000075 0.000105 0.000162
2025-07-20 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000054 0.000073 0.000104 0.000162
2025-07-27 0.000027 0.000034 0.000042 0.000055 0.000075 0.000108 0.000173